29 results found

It’s interest rates, stupid

Inflation is down by 700 bp since 2013, and policy rates have declined by 200bp — and you are still wondering why GDP growth is slow?

Madness in monetary policy

In India we have a monetary authority that admits to not understanding inflation — but persists in damaging an already weak economy because it does not understand it

Leave your ego at home

Average CPI inflation for eight months since September 2016 has been 3.7 per cent. How long are you going to wait and watch, MPC, before you admit that you were wrong in your assessment?

MPC — you are not in D-School any more

One logical way for the MPC to change course and lower rates is by being Keynesian at the June 7 meeting — the facts have changed, so we have changed our mind

RBI, enough of elevator economics

The inflation forecast is the most important aspect of the most crucial economic decision that the RBI makes — it needs to be more in tune with reality.The Indian economy has likely gone through a mega structural-break experience via demonetisation....

Case for an inter-meeting rate hike

A ‘rate hike in time is just fine’ is a wise RBI saying. With CPI inflation at near-historic lows, this must mean, according to the RBI law of mean reversion, that the future will bring high inflation. Hence, the urgent...

Jaywalking at the RBI

RBI’s obstinate refusal to cut policy rates, and the moving of its policy stance from neutral to accommodative, is not based on economic logic. Both headline and core inflation data argue for a rate cut

Not business as usual

Budget 2017-18 is probably the most brilliant economic and political document since the path-breaking budget of 1991

Taxation — beware of the enemy within

A meaningful reduction in effective corporate tax rates to around 20 per cent is the correct follow-through to the logic, and pain, of demonetisation.

Taxing your way to popularity

The finance minister can cut everyone’s tax burden, even pay the poor, and be revenue neutral by cutting sops