19 results found

Getting at the truth in Opinion Polls

This article takes as given the accuracy of opinion polls. It offers instead a suggestion towards improving forecasts of elections where traditional assumptions may not be valid. What is offered is a consistent, and ex-ante correction, to polling data. This...

Short CV

Surjit S. Bhalla is a former part-time member of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Economic Advisory Council. In addition, he serves as Chairperson for the Ministry of Commerce High Level Advisory Group on Trade; Economic Adviser to the Fifteenth Finance Commission,...

The Little Revenue LTCG tax

The best tax policy for the taxman is one that maximizes tax revenue, and not one that maximizes his morality, or his employment, or his discretionary powers.

About

Surjit S. Bhalla Surjit is a former part-time member of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Economic Advisory Council. In addition, he serves as Chairperson for the Ministry of Commerce High Level Advisory Group on Trade;  Economic Adviser to the Fifteenth Finance...

Budget 2018/19: Revolutions and Regression

With the government swimming in tax revenues, it makes little economic, or revenue, sense to reintroduce the long term capital gains tax after a hiatus of 14 years. Why?!

World economy: Looking up

The world is on course for good growth, low inflation, lower taxation and increased income support for the needy. And yes – declining global inequality.

Gujarat 2017, lessons for all

This election was the first since slow economic growth was apparent and in the data. A slow economy, however, was not the only factor — after all, in Himachal Pradesh, the BJP won by a large margin.

Gujarat 2017- A turning point?

For whom will the Gujarat election toll – a confident BJP or a reviving Congress? The opinion polls suggest that Gujarat may not be a Rahul Gandhi moment.

Madness in monetary policy

In India we have a monetary authority that admits to not understanding inflation — but persists in damaging an already weak economy because it does not understand it

Leave your ego at home

Average CPI inflation for eight months since September 2016 has been 3.7 per cent. How long are you going to wait and watch, MPC, before you admit that you were wrong in your assessment?